Marbella FC vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
RON
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
2 - 2
MOT
52%
26%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 0
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 2
MOT
21%
26%
53%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 2
NER
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ARE
1 - 1
MOT
24%
27%
49%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |