Marbella FC vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAL
80%
15%
6%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
11 - 0
CDB
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDT
3 - 0
MAR
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOT
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
UDS
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
TRU
0 - 0
MEL
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 1
MEL
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
CPC
46%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |