Marbella FC vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BET
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 2
GRA
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
MEL
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
REC
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |