Marbella FC vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
33
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDT
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDM
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HUE
1 - 3
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
CHM
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |