Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Marbella FC vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEL
4 - 1
CDG
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAV
2 - 0
CEL
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 3
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |