Marbella FC vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDB
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
ULP
40%
27%
32%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BET
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
ECI
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MER
1 - 0
AGD
25%
30%
46%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
MER
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MER
0 - 2
EXT
27%
30%
42%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CPC
3 - 1
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |