Marbella FC vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CRD
2 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCV
9%
15%
76%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
24%
29%
47%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
GRA
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |