UD Mahón vs Ciutadella CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MNC
2 - 1
UDM
21%
21%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 2
ATL
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MJG
1 - 1
UDM
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UDM
9 - 1
NTÑ
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SLL
0 - 2
UDM
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ciutadella CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
FRR
34%
23%
42%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
SAM
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
SDM
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MNC
0 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |