UD Mahón vs Ciutadella CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 3
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
UDM
6 - 0
PCE
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SLL
1 - 1
UDM
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
UDM
8 - 0
ADC
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
UDM
4 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ciutadella CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
5 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MJG
4 - 0
SAM
11%
18%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
SDM
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FRR
1 - 1
SAM
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
FRR
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |