UD Mahón vs Ciutadella CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SDM
1 - 1
UDM
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UDM
0 - 0
MNC
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRR
0 - 0
UDM
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
MNC
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ADC
1 - 2
UDM
27%
23%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciutadella CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALA
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SDM
2 - 1
SAM
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAM
7 - 1
SLL
66%
18%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MNC
0 - 2
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADC
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |