UD Mahón vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
UDM
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALA
59%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UDM
3 - 0
MNC
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MNC
0 - 4
UDM
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MER
5 - 0
SDM
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SDM
1 - 4
MER
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FRR
0 - 3
MER
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MER
5 - 0
FRR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |