Segunda RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 0-2
UD Logroñés vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 0
CDG
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
UDL
20%
26%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 3
UDL
24%
29%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 1
CFB
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
GET
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GET
0 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGU
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 6
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |