UD Llanera vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
UDL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 3
MOS
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COL
4 - 1
UDL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PIL
3 - 2
UDL
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 1
PCF
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
PCF
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
COM
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
URR
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 2
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |