UD Llanera vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
4 - 1
UDL
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 1
SIE
26%
24%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
UDL
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 0
CAN
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 1
UDL
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
TAP
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
4 - 1
UCO
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 3
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
UCO
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |