UD Llanera vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
9º
4º
31
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TUI
0 - 2
UDL
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
4 - 0
CEA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RTI
1 - 0
UDL
16%
21%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 4
CON
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LUA
3 - 1
TUI
38%
24%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUA
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LUA
1 - 0
RTI
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
LUA
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUA
0 - 2
CAU
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |