Lanzarote vs Tijarafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 0
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 0
LAN
46%
25%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 2
VSB
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
TEL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 2
SDT
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VEC
1 - 0
UDT
79%
15%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
UDT
1 - 2
EST
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
UDT
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
UDT
1 - 1
UDL
34%
27%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSI
2 - 3
UDT
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |