Lanzarote vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 1
LAN
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 0
LAN
66%
22%
12%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 2
CER
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 2
LAN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
OVI
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
RMC
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
RMC
4 - 2
GIM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
RMC
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LEG
1 - 1
RMC
37%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |