Lanzarote vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
PXD
1 - 4
LAN
25%
30%
45%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LEG
2 - 0
LAN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 3
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
PXD
1 - 1
CFP
57%
25%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
PXD
1 - 4
LAN
25%
30%
45%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAM
1 - 1
PXD
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PXD
3 - 0
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VIL
5 - 0
PXD
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |