Lanzarote vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CSU
2 - 0
LAN
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 0
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
VSB
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UPR
1 - 1
LAN
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 2
SDT
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CDB
3 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 0
UDL
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
UDI
1 - 1
CSU
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 1
UDI
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |