Lanzarote vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
CDZ
2 - 0
LAN
13%
24%
63%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LPA
1 - 0
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
LAN
3 - 0
SDT
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
UDO
0 - 0
LAN
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
LAN
1 - 1
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 1
DOR
55%
25%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
UDI
1 - 0
VEC
27%
29%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
ATL
0 - 4
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
UDI
2 - 1
CDT
23%
27%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
RSI
1 - 0
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |