Lanzarote vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
0 - 4
LAN
15%
25%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
LAN
2 - 1
UDO
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 0
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
LAN
2 - 1
SDT
71%
19%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
UCA
1 - 1
LAN
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VEC
4 - 1
UDI
43%
28%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
UDI
1 - 1
65%
22%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
UDO
1 - 1
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
UDI
2 - 1
CDT
26%
27%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
SDT
4 - 1
UDI
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |