Lanzarote vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
GET
0 - 1
LAN
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
LAN
3 - 0
CDM
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CDT
3 - 0
LAN
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PPJ
1 - 2
LAN
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LAN
0 - 0
VEC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
HER
5 - 0
VEC
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
ATB
1 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
HER
2 - 2
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |