Lanzarote vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 1
LAN
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 0
JER
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MER
1 - 1
LAN
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 2
CDB
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
LOG
3 - 2
LAN
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
POL
1 - 3
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LEG
0 - 0
POL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
POL
1 - 2
ELC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
RAY
3 - 1
POL
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
TER
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |