Lanzarote vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VEC
3 - 1
LAN
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
UNV
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDM
3 - 0
LAN
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDT
1 - 0
LAN
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
EST
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VEC
4 - 1
COT
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
TEL
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UNV
0 - 0
COT
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
SDT
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |