Lanzarote vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UDS
1 - 0
LAN
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 2
UNV
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
2 - 1
LAN
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARU
2 - 3
UDL
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VSB
3 - 0
ARU
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARU
3 - 0
PAN
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ARU
3 - 1
UDL
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
3 - 2
ARU
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |