Lanzarote vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 1
LAN
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 2
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UPR
0 - 1
LAN
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
5 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARU
1 - 2
UDI
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ARU
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARU
2 - 0
CRU
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
ARU
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 0
ARU
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |