Lanzarote vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDF
2 - 1
LAN
20%
27%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LAN
2 - 0
ULP
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
LAN
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 1
CDO
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VEC
4 - 1
LAN
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALC
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
RAY
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RMC
3 - 1
ALC
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |