Lanzarote vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 1
LAN
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 0
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CDO
2 - 1
LAN
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 3
ULP
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LAN
3 - 0
RAC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
3 - 0
ATB
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 1
FUE
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |