La Espina vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+866%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Espina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LCM
2 - 1
LES
71%
15%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LES
0 - 3
MCU
19%
20%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BOS
6 - 0
LES
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LES
1 - 0
HIS
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RAI
2 - 1
LES
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
MCU
20%
22%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
HIS
4 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
TAP
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDP
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |