UD Jarama 2016 vs Atletico Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Jarama 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAZ
0 - 4
UDJ
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDJ
3 - 3
MAJ
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
UDJ
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UDJ
5 - 0
SDH
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOE
1 - 5
UDJ
32%
22%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
JTO
6 - 0
ATA
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DAG
2 - 1
ATA
65%
17%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HEN
5 - 2
ATA
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAY
6 - 2
ATA
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAZ
4 - 3
ATA
65%
18%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |