UD Humilladero vs EF Vélez Francisco Castejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+280%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Humilladero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RML
5 - 0
UDH
72%
16%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UDH
0 - 1
FMA
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 1
UDH
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FOU
5 - 1
UDH
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UDH
2 - 1
COM
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EF Vélez Francisco Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
8 - 0
CUE
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TAP
4 - 1
VFC
32%
22%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
3 - 1
CDV
61%
18%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
1 - 1
FMA
41%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VFC
3 - 1
TOT
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |