UD Hermigua vs Lorenzo Negrín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Hermigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HER
4 - 2
COR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
ARM
51%
21%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 6
HER
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
3 - 2
PLA
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
SAL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SJT
1 - 3
LNE
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VTA
3 - 1
LNE
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LNE
1 - 3
AÑA
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 3
LNE
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LNE
1 - 0
ALA
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |