UD Guía vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
SGR
1 - 0
UDG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
UDG
2 - 3
BEC
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
VEC
1 - 3
UDG
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
ARU
2 - 1
UDG
72%
18%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
UDG
4 - 1
TAH
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
COS
2 - 5
CER
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 0
COS
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
TAM
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CFP
1 - 0
COS
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
TER
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |