UD Guarroman vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Guarroman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 1
ILI
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 3
NAV
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
UDG
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
4 - 3
UDG
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 1
BEA
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ILI
4 - 1
ADM
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
ADM
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
ADM
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |