Girod vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
MER
5 - 0
UDG
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
PUE
0 - 1
UDG
81%
12%
8%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
UDG
2 - 1
RAY
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
EXT
3 - 2
UDG
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
UDG
1 - 1
AMI
65%
18%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ARA
5 - 2
PUE
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
RAY
4 - 3
ARA
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
ARA
1 - 1
EXT
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
AMI
2 - 1
ARA
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ARA
6 - 1
DBN
56%
20%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |