Girod vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
EXT
3 - 2
UDG
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
UDG
1 - 1
AMI
65%
18%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
UDG
0 - 0
CDT
60%
19%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDG
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UDG
4 - 1
UBC
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
RAY
2 - 1
PUE
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
MER
3 - 0
RAY
77%
13%
11%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
RAY
1 - 0
EXT
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
PUE
6 - 0
RAY
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
VAL
1 - 2
RAY
64%
17%
19%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |