Girod vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
15.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
UDG
4 - 0
VAL
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
CDS
3 - 3
UDG
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
UDG
2 - 0
MER
56%
19%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
MAN
4 - 0
UDG
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
UDG
4 - 1
CDB
52%
21%
28%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RAY
1 - 0
MER
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
MAN
6 - 1
RAY
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDB
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
CDB
4 - 0
RAY
85%
9%
6%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
RAY
0 - 3
CDT
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |