Girod vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
3 - 1
UDG
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
UDG
1 - 4
RAY
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
UDG
1 - 0
GUA
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDG
78%
12%
10%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LEG
3 - 1
CDS
86%
9%
5%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
LEG
3 - 3
UBC
89%
7%
4%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
5 - 3
LEG
46%
23%
32%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LEG
1 - 3
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PUL
5 - 0
LEG
57%
20%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |