Girod vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
UBC
1 - 0
UDG
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
PAR
7 - 1
UDG
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
UDG
1 - 3
RAY
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
CUA
3 - 1
UDG
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
UDG
3 - 0
ARA
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
CDT
2 - 0
LEG
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
UBC
3 - 1
CDT
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CDT
2 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
CDT
4 - 4
CUA
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |