Girod vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ATC
1 - 0
UDG
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
UDG
0 - 0
ARA
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
MER
5 - 0
UDG
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
PUE
0 - 1
UDG
81%
12%
8%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
UDG
2 - 1
RAY
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
CDT
1 - 2
PUE
73%
15%
13%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RAY
0 - 4
CDT
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
CDT
2 - 2
EXT
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
AMI
3 - 0
CDT
61%
18%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CDT
3 - 0
DBN
87%
8%
5%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |