Fuerteventura vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
CDO
3 - 1
UDF
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
UDF
2 - 0
VEC
19%
26%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 1
UDF
70%
21%
9%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
UDF
1 - 2
RMC
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
3 - 2
UDF
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
LAN
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ULP
3 - 0
LUG
58%
26%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LUG
4 - 1
VEC
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 2
LUG
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |