UD Fornacense vs CD Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 0
CAT
28%
21%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CPG
4 - 2
UDF
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 1
CDB
18%
20%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CDD
6 - 0
UDF
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 2
UDF
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ZAF
8 - 0
SPR
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
3 - 2
ZAF
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ZAF
3 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CPG
1 - 2
ZAF
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ZAF
3 - 0
ZAL
63%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |