UD Fornacense vs SP Ribereña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDV
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
RHI
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 3
UDF
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
3 - 2
CAM
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SP Ribereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 3
SPR
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SPR
1 - 3
CDB
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RHI
2 - 1
SPR
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPR
3 - 0
ALA
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
3 - 1
SPR
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |