UD Fornacense vs SP Ribereña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
4 - 1
CPR
77%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 2
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 0
UDF
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SP Ribereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPR
5 - 0
CDT
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OLY
5 - 2
SPR
52%
21%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 0
ADL
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 0
UCL
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SPR
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |