UD Fornacense vs SP Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UCL
5 - 3
UDF
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDT
6 - 1
UDF
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
4 - 4
OLY
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ADL
1 - 0
UDF
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 0
SPR
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SPH
0 - 1
CDT
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 0
SPH
80%
14%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPH
1 - 0
ADL
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SPR
5 - 1
SPH
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPH
1 - 0
ZAL
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |