UD Fornacense vs SP Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ADL
0 - 0
UDF
47%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UDF
5 - 1
CPR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDF
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 1
MET
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
UDF
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPH
2 - 2
UCL
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 0
SPH
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPH
2 - 1
OLY
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPH
14%
19%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPH
1 - 2
CDB
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |