UD Fornacense vs CD Metelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
UDF
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UDF
8 - 1
CDB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADL
5 - 0
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 2
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 1
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MET
0 - 3
UCL
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |