UD Fornacense vs Merida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.9%
68.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
OLI
2 - 1
UDF
61%
22%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
UDF
1 - 2
BUR
17%
26%
57%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
UDF
1 - 0
UDF
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
UDF
2 - 0
UCL
29%
26%
45%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
CAS
4 - 1
UDF
84%
11%
4%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
MCB
1 - 1
JER
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
MOR
1 - 2
MCB
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MCB
4 - 1
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
COR
0 - 0
MCB
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
MCB
4 - 1
SNV
86%
11%
3%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |