UD Fornacense vs Ilipense-Zalamea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
+1308%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CPR
3 - 1
UDF
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
UDF
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 3
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 1
UDF
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ZAL
3 - 2
CDT
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
ZAL
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 4
ADL
57%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 3
ZAL
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UCL
4 - 1
ZAL
67%
18%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |