UD Fornacense vs Hernando De Soto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+220%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
0 - 8
UDF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 3
MON
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 0
UDF
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 3
EME
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
CDB
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BIE
0 - 0
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
HER
30%
21%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HER
4 - 0
ACE
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EME
2 - 0
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |